Industrial Metals · LI · USD / t
Lithium Carbonate
Lithium prices have round-tripped from $80k peak to $13k — a textbook commodity cycle collapse. Marginal cost producers in Australia/China losing money sets up classic accumulation. EV demand trajectory remains intact even at slower growth rates.
Spot
$13,400
Δ 24h
-4.1%
Realized Vol
42.3%
Cycle Phase
Collapse
Price Timeline · 10Y
Hover · Click eventsInteractive History
Annotated Macro Events
2022Spot Spike to $80kSevere shortage drives unsustainable peak.
2023Inventory LiquidationCathode makers slash purchases; price waterfall.
2024Producer CurtailmentsGreenbushes, Cattlin, African projects scale back.
Cycle Phase Breakdown
Probability-weighted regime modelWhere Lithium Carbonate Sits in Its Supercycle
55%
25%
Collapse
55%Current — washout in progress.
Accumulation
25%Forward — supply curve repair.
Early Bull
12%Demand recognition.
Expansion
8%Out-year.
Supply & Demand
- Market Balance+45 kt LCE
- EV Sales Growth+28%
- Spodumene SC6$760/t
Cross-Asset Correlation
- EV Sales0.55
- Nickel0.48
- Copper0.36
Exposure Vehicles
- LITGlobal X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF
- BATTAmplify Lithium & Battery Tech ETF