Precious Metals · XAG · USD / oz
Silver
Silver remains in a 4-year structural deficit as solar PV demand has stepped to a new plateau. Above-ground inventories have drawn ~25% from 2021 levels. The metal historically lags gold then outperforms 2-3x in the late stage of bull cycles.
Spot
$28.15
Δ 24h
-0.1%
Realized Vol
24.7%
Cycle Phase
Expansion
Price Timeline · 10Y
Hover · Click eventsInteractive History
Annotated Macro Events
2021WallStreetBets Silver SqueezeRetail-driven spike to $30; failed sustained breakout.
2023Chinese Solar Mega-CapacityPV manufacturing scale-up locks in silver thrifting limits.
2024LBMA Vault DrawdownFree-float inventories at multi-decade lows.
Cycle Phase Breakdown
Probability-weighted regime modelWhere Silver Sits in Its Supercycle
15%
40%
25%
Accumulation
10%Coiled basing.
Early Bull
15%Deficit recognition.
Expansion
40%Current — industrial bid layered on monetary.
Peak Euphoria
25%Gold catch-up scenario.
Distribution
10%Cycle exhaustion.
Supply & Demand
- Industrial Demand654 Moz
- Mine Supply823 Moz
- Market Deficit 2024-215 Moz
Cross-Asset Correlation
- Gold0.78
- Copper0.52
- SPX0.27
Exposure Vehicles
- SLViShares Silver Trust
- SIVRabrdn Physical Silver Shares
- SILGlobal X Silver Miners ETF